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Moore's Law Continues

The observation made in 1965 by Gordon Moore, co-founder of Intel, that the number of transistors per square inch on integrated circuits had doubled every year since the integrated circuit was invented. Moore predicted that this trend would continue for the foreseeable future. In subsequent years, the pace slowed down a bit, but data density has doubled approximately every 18 months, and this is the current definition of Moore's Law, which Moore himself has blessed. Most experts, including Moore himself, expect Moore's Law to hold for at least another two decades.

We just keep on getting more and more of everything faster and faster.

Well yesterday the US officially regained the title of having the world's fastest computer. The IBM Blue Gene/L system was clocked at 70.72 trillion calculations per second, almost double the performance of the reigning leader - Japan's Earth Simulator, which can sustain 35.86 trillion calculations a second.

What is really amazing here though is that the Blue Gene/L will consume about $1 million a year in electricity. If the Earth Simulator were as powerful, it would consume $60 million each year for electricity, Turek said. The IBM system also will take up just 2,500 square feet, compared with 34,000 square feet for Earth Simulator.

It is just a matter of a few short years that you will have that power on your desktop. With Moore's Law it is inevitable. What does this mean for you?

Nearly two years ago I wrote an article on petabyte drives that interestingly is ranked number one on Google for this term. If you want to peer into the future as to what having this type of storage capcacity on your desktop by 2010 will mean, I strongly encourage you to read this fascinating article.

USA Today November 9, 2004

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